Wednesday, May 10, 2017

Trumpgate

   The odds of Donald Trump making it through a full term fell sharply after the president fired FBI Director James Comey, according to those who tally such things. It's now even money that he won't last.
   The British betting site Predictit said the chances of Trump staying in office until 2019 plummeted to 69 percent, according to a report in the London Express news site. 
   And Ladbrokes, another major oddsmaker, noted that soon after the inauguration, those who felt he would leave office before serving a full term outnumbered those who bet he would last by five-to-one.
   The Express quoted a Ladbrokes spokeswoman as saying the firm "didn't even offer odds on (former President Barack) Obama being impeached or resigning, which speaks volumes about the current president."
   And the odds of Trump being impeached soared as a result of the Comey firing, several betting sites said. He now has a 60 percent chance of being impeached during his first term, said a spokesman for Paddy Power, a betting site in Ireland.
   Another British betting operation said the odds that Trump will be out by the end of this year went from nine-to-one to three-to-one. And the odds of him leaving before the end of his first term are now even money, according to several published reports.
   So whether Trump resigns under pressure or is impeached, convicted and removed from office remains a major question, as does the timetable for either scenario.
   However, odds are he won't last a full term.

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